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Republican U.S. presidential candidate Donald Trump refers to former Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney, who lost the 2012 presidential election, as a "choker" at a rally with supporters in Anaheim, California, U.S., May 25, 2016. REUTERS/Jonathan Ernst - RTSFXMO

Trump is now choking on his own words and behavior

As his conduct becomes more erratic and alarming by the day, to win the presidential race, Donald Trump really needs a time-out to reconsider his overall campaign strategy.

Trump’s strategy of “All Press Is Good Press” might have worked fine during the primaries but it is not working for him in this election.

The way he is going now, there is no way Trump can win this election.

JMD

Owner of Bunkumless.com and King Global Earth and Environmental Sciences Corporation, JMD, a former attorney, is a Columnist for The Futurist Daily News and editor of the Social and Political Blog JMDlive.com  Follow JMD @ jmdlive

 

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FadeDonald

Trump is a political animal

Throughout the primary season, Trump surprisingly demonstrated a never seen before acute political instinct that is hard to match.

During the February Florida Republican debate, Trump was asked about former Mexican President Vicente Fox’s comment that his country wouldn’t pay for Trump’s “fucking wall.”

“The wall just got 10 feet taller,” Trump shot back.

He then called on Fox to apologize for his foul language, reiterated that Mexico would, indeed, pay for the wall and hit Mexico for its countless sins against the United States.

In slapping down the former Mexican president, Trump reiterated and confirmed his toughness and nationalistic fiber.

Trump did the same thing when he turned Ted Cruz’s “New York values” attack into a riff about 9/11.

And again, reaffirming his patriotic values, in response to the San Bernardino terror attack, when he proposed his now infamous temporary ban on all Muslims entering the United States.

Everyone denounced him. Apparently, no one agreed with him.

Trump could not care less. For trump, the emotional punch of the ban, and the way it differentiated him from the other candidates, was the important thing and ultimately, a large part of the Republican voters agreed with him.

In New Hampshire, 65 percent supported the ban, in South Carolina, 74 percent supported it, in New York, 68 percent.

Trump calls it as it is

With no pollsters, no speechwriters, no fundraising staff, little campaign organization, few TV advertisements, no debate prep, Trump has won the Republican presidential nomination.

Trump’s achievement is not so difficult to comprehend.

He did it by pounding a simple, emotive message over and over: “Making America Great Again”. He did it not being afraid of controversy and saying it as it is. It made him stand out from a field of an original field of seventeen candidates.

Trump’s every act of outrageousness reinforced his reputation as the “truth-telling” outsider.

Challenging and changing the rules

Trump while proving to be an exceptionally skilled politician was also fortunate. Not being taken seriously, for most of the primary season, there wasn’t any organized effort against him. He won three out of the first four contests while his rivals squabbled among themselves.

The establishment initially bet on Jeb Bush, and then, tapped out financially and psychologically, did nothing to rally around Cruz, whom many insiders fear and hate more than Trump.

Rubio may have been an option but trying to go against Trump mano to mano was not is greatest idea.

All of sudden, it became clear that the only alternative to a clean Trump nomination was a contested convention.

Trump has changed all the political rules. What he has done is not easily replicable. Now it is on to the next test: Will the Trump’s recipe work in the general election or will he fade away?

It would be foolish to discount his chances.

JMD

JMD is an enthusiastic private and public events speaker, writer, syndicated columnist and social activist who most enjoys evolving in complex interactive situations.

jmdlive@live.ca

http://jmdonline.tumblr.com/

http://lefuturistedailynews.com/

http://news.thefuturistdailynews.com/

https://about.me/jmdlive/

Trump will win the nomination

Against all odds, Trump is on course to wrap up the Republican nomination

As I predicted months ago, Trump is going to be the Republican nominee.

His clear victory in New York on Tuesday April 19 saw him add to previous victories across the South on ‘Super Tuesday’ and in the key states of Florida, Illinois, Arizona and Missouri.

It was already fairly clear he would win the most votes and delegates in New York and the game is now whether he can win a majority of delegates before the July 18-21 Cleveland Republican Convention. A total of 1,237 delegates is required to win the nomination.

Today, with just under 850 delegates on his side, Trump has now won nearly 70 per cent of the delegates he needs to secure the Republican nomination. His closest competitor, Ted Cruz, has not even secure 45 per cent of the 1,237 candidates he would need to win the nomination.

How Trump will secure the Republican nomination

Trump has just fewer than 850 delegates and is about 390 short of the magical number to secure the Republican nomination.

Next Tuesday, April 26, he is set to win around 100 more delegates in Maryland, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Delaware and Pennsylvania.

That would take him to nearly 950 delegates with the possibility of 50 more delegates supporting him if the 50 unbound Pennsylvanian delegates decide to support him.

Then comes the critical state of Indiana on May 3, which uniquely awards all of its 57 delegates to the statewide winner.

If Trump wins Indiana, he will be the republican nominee.

If he does not, considering that he should pick up another 50 delegates in West Virginia, Oregon and Washington in the rest of May, and then sweep all 50 of New Jersey’s while winning 10 in New Mexico on June 7, he still has a very good chance.

That would give him 1,060 if he has not won Indiana or any of Philadelphia’s unbound delegates, and somewhere between 1,100 and 1,150 if he has.

It will all come down to California

California’s 172 delegates will also be in play on June 7.

If Trump wins Indiana and the support of a significant chunk of Philadelphia’s delegates, he could clinch the nomination that day.

Trump is expected to win at least half of California’s 172 and there is a clear possibility that he may win more.

If Trump loses Indiana, he will still end the primary season within 100 delegates of securing the nomination. He will still have 90-95 per cent of the delegates he needs to win the nomination and will just need to win over some of the 200 or so uncommitted delegates to vote on the floor of the Republican convention to be held in July.

The closer Trump gets to 1,237, the more likely these uncommitted delegates will push him over the line.

In other words, the 2016 race is almost certainly going to be Trump vs Clinton.

In such a scenario, the betting markets give Clinton a 72 percent chance to win the Presidential race. Can Trump bridge the gap?

He has six and a half months to defy the odds.

JMD

JMD is an enthusiastic private and public events speaker, writer, syndicated columnist and social activist who most enjoys evolving in complex interactive situations.

jmdlive@live.ca

http://jmdonline.tumblr.com/

http://lefuturistedailynews.com/

http://news.thefuturistdailynews.com/

https://about.me/jmdlive/

 

donald for president

Trump: “I deliver ratings!”

Trump is now transforming the battle for the United States presidency into a TV reality show. Trump’s allegations against illegal Mexican immigrants, his insults directed toward Fox News’s Megyn Kelly and his confrontation with Univision’s Jorge Ramos were bound to get some attention from the media.

Trump delivers ratings; Trump is on television nonstop.

Common belief and widespread view of the media was that Trump’s personal insults and nasty remarks, his conversion of the political speech into a form of self-involved stand-up against the establishment would doom his chances for the nomination. Trump has proven and still is proving everyone wrong. Trump may well become the next president of the United States. People are fed up with the traditional politicians, which are nothing else than mouthpieces that cannot get anything done.

The Republican Party created Donald Trump.

The Republican politicians made a lot of promises to their base and never kept them. They have kept their most conservative supporters at a very high level of angry mobilization, exploiting anxieties about demographic and social change. They kept pledging they would really and truly repeal Obamacare, even when they knew they did not have the votes. Trump is the revenge of the party’s non-insiders who are tired of being used and lied to.

Like it or not, Trump is there to stay and whatever the Republican Party does, the Party’s future depends on Trump. He runs as an independent, the Republicans have no shot at the presidency and Trump is increasing his chances. Many of the Democratic voters feel the same way as the Republicans voters about the establishment and the traditional politicians. Trump appeals to the masses.

Trump may well be at the origin of a formidable mass movement.

Trump has certainly gotten further faster than any of his Republican opponents and he is already fighting against the entire field of his possible Democratic opponent to the presidency. Trump is sitting atop some broad uprising rebellion of an endlessly increasing majority of people having to live from one paycheck to the other and being denied any chance of a brighter future. Trump’s visibility is his best weapon, the product of a new mass media circular reality: Celebrities bring ratings and the resulting attention they get further enhances their fame.

Trump’s unique contribution to the 2016 presidential race has been and still is to achieve a complete fusion of the culture of celebrity to politics. Television is a business like any other and nowhere is the tension between financial and public imperatives more obvious than in the massive media coverage of the Trump spectacular ascension. It is all about ratings and, plane, helicopter, arrogance, insults; Trump his bringing all the right props to the show.

JMD

JMD is an enthusiastic writer, columnist and social activist who most enjoys evolving in complex interactive situations.

jmdlive@live.ca

http://jmdonline.tumblr.com/

print v online

2012, une année funeste pour la presse écrite

Les journaux des pays développés ne retrouveront jamais les niveaux de lectorat et de publicité d’autrefois et le pire demeure à venir.

Le 7 décembre dernier, le Financial Times Deutschland, faute de rentabilité, publiait son dernier numéro. Jeudi le 6 décembre, l’hebdomadaire américain Newsweek annonçait des coupes féroces dans ses effectifs : le journal cessera d’être imprimé fin 2012 pour n’exister que sur Internet.

Et partout ailleurs dans le monde, pour tous les journaux des pays développés, autant en Europe comme en Amérique, la situation n’est pas plus rose. En Espagne, tout comme pour l’El Mundo, il y a peu de temps,  c’est maintenant au tour de l’El Pais d’annoncer un plan de restructuration et de licenciement touchant près du tiers de ses effectifs. Même scénario pour l’Allemagne où, à la mi-novembre, le Frankfurter Rundschau déposait son bilan.

Virages technologiques, fermeture de titres, basculement vers le numérique, 2012 se voudra une année des plus sombres pour l’ensemble des journaux imprimés du monde occidental. Pas un mois ne passe sans qu’une publication papier, faute de rentabilité, dans un effort ultime de survie souvent tardif, n’annonce son passage au numérique.

Malheureusement, comme beaucoup trop de mes preneurs voudraient bien le croire, la crise économique actuelle n’est pas cyclique, elle est structurelle et les journaux des pays développés ne retrouveront jamais les niveaux de lectorat et de publicité d’autrefois. L’Internet, la multiplication des sources d’information gratuite, la prolifération des technologies sans fils et l’exploitation commerciale à des fins publicitaires de ces nouveaux médias, ont profondément modifié les habitudes et des consommateurs et des lecteurs.

Plus d’un milliard de téléphones intelligents et de tablettes numériques devraient être vendus dans le monde en 2013, une révolution technologique qui bouleverse le modèle d’affaires de la presse traditionnelle, dont les revenus publicitaires s’effondrent tous les jours, constamment au profit des médias électroniques et télévisuels.

Le pire demeure à venir et l’année 2013 m’en sera témoin.

JMD

And the winner is …

Like MySpace before, Facebook will eventually die.

By 2020, Facebook will no longer exist. On the contrary, Twitter will never die. Twitter is the modern day version of the newspaper. There’s no better way to find out fast what, if anything, is happening in the world. Twitter also entertains. And Twitter can help you act in your own self-promoting interest. In fact, you can do everything on Twitter that you do on Facebook and there’s much less mindless minutia to wade through. Next or even before LinkedIn, there’s not a more utilitarian social media site than Twitter. Twitter’s 140-character limit stokes allows the most clever folks to break through. 

Facebook is a sustainable fad but, it will never be in Twitter’s league.

 

JMD

jmdlive@live.ca